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64 most important countries. This comprises the
EU-28 as well as the major countries of the CIS, Central Europe,
America, Asia, Africa and Oceania.
Monthly prices from Jan 2001 up to September 2016 for the 6 major
oilseeds, 15 oils/fats and 8 oilmeals.
Monthly crush, production, trade and stocks data for key countries
until Sept or Dec 2017. Trade statistics are provided for the major
exporting countries with breakdown by country of destination and for
the leading importing countries by country of origin.
The Commodity Sections for Oilseeds, Oils and Oilmeals provide the supply and demand developments as well as stocks,with breakdown by major countries. The forecasts cover the season 2016/17 for crop production and area as well as world supply & demand of the major oilseeds and products. The time periods in most tables are the 5 seasons until 2016/17 and the 3 calendar years ending 2016. A quarterly breakdown is given in the respective Summary Tables of each commodity. Monthly Price Surveys are given for most oilseeds, oils and meals. The section 'Other Commodities' provides world production statistics for red meat and poultry.
For more info see www.oilworld.de/database
Edible Oil Prices Will Still Be Well Supported in Oct/Febr 2016/17...
The current tightness in palm oil is unprecedented
and is still ongoing because the moderate recovery in
palm oil production is quickly absorbed by the sharply
reduced stocks, keeping world supplies sharply below
the year-ago levels in Oct/Dec 2016 and again in
Sharply depleted stocks in the exporting countries
will reduce world export supplies in the next 3-6
months. At the same time, stocks have been cut
sizeably in most importing countries, primarily in China
and India. In Oct/Dec 2016 reduced supplies will result
in a year-on-year decline of world exports...
OIL WORLD MONTHLY of 16 September 2016...
CHINA: Strong Demand for US Soybeans Will Unfold
in Coming Months...
Partly owing to uncertainty about the outcome of the
auctions, Chinese importers purchased relatively small
soybean volumes for arrival in July/Sept. The resulting
reduction of Chinese stocks is creating pent-up demand.
We currently assume that combined soybean
exports from the key countries to China increase
slightly to 36.8 Mn T in Sept/Feb 2016/17...
OIL WORLD WEEKLY of 9 September 2016...
Biodiesel: Production of biodiesel has exceeded expectations so far in 2016 in the USA and Argentina....
Biodiesel: Production of biodiesel has exceeded expectations so far in 2016 in the USA and Argentina. In Jan/June 2016 combined US production and imports of biodiesel increased by a staggering 0.8 Mn T or 30%. For Argentina we now expect biodiesel production in calendar year 2016 to rise by 0.6 Mn T or 35%. In Brazil the performance in 2016 is trailing expectations, but a higher admixture mandate coming into force next year is likely to boost Brazilian biodiesel production to a record 3.85 Mn T in calendar year 2017, up 13%. In the OIL WORLD WEEKLY of Sept 2 we provide details for the USA, Argentina, Brazil, Indonesia and Germany...
OIL WORLD WEEKLY of 2 September 2016...
Outlook 2017: Palm oil production in Malaysia and Indonesia will still be partly curbed by the lagged effect of the previous El Niño, keeping yields below potential in 2017...
Outlook 2017: Palm oil production in Malaysia and Indonesia will still be partly curbed by the lagged effect of the previous El Niño, keeping yields below potential in 2017. The number of fruit bunches available for harvest will still be less than normally. However, with improved rainfall, oil palms will be regaining strength and the bunch weights should be considerably higher than in 2016. A recovery in yields (though still staying below 2015 and 2014) and further growth in the mature area are likely to boost Malaysian and Indonesian palm oil production to new record highs. In the OIL WORLD Monthly of August 26 we provide our revised estimates on palm oil production in Malaysia, Indonesia and the rest of the world for calendar year 2017 and we also give our supply & demand projections for 8 vegetable oils, 7 oilseeds and 8 oilmeals.
OIL WORLD MONTHLY of 26 August 2016...
The major bullish factor for oils & fats is to be seen in the substantial reduction of world stocks by 4.2 Mn T in Jan/Aug 2016. Most of the reduction occured in palm oil...
Led by palm oil, most vegetable oils reversed the declining price trend during most of June and July. Palm oil was the price leader upward and skyrocketed by US$ 130-140 in the three weeks to Aug 18. Also lauric oils rebounded with palmkernel oil up 12% and coconut oil up 10%, while palm oil jumped by 21-23% in the 3-week period. Soya oil was also pulled higher with Argentine prices up US$ 90-100 and US export prices up US$ 110-120.
Substantially Higher US Exports of Soybeans & Corn Required in July/Dec 2016...
Plunging exports from South America will require a boost in US soybean exports to around 37.0 Mn T in July/Dec 2016, up 6.4 Mn from last year. Exports more than doubled from last year to about 2.6 Mn T in July. We expect exports in August to be at least 2.6 Mn T and in September at least 3.0 Mn T. However, we would not be surprised if actual exports this and next month. For July/Dec 2016 we estimate total US corn exports to reach at least 26.5 Mn T, up 7.0 Mn from a year ago.
OIL WORLD WEEKLY of 12 August 2016...
Spectacular Growth of World Sunflowerseed Crushings & Trade in 2016/17...
We anticipate sharp increases in sunflowerseed crushings as well as in sunflower oil and meal supplies worldwide next season. At the moment only a very tentative estimate can be made and in today’s analysis we forecast world crushings to reach an all-time high of 40.9 Mn T in Oct/Sept 2016/17, with significant gains not only in the major producing countries but also in many importing countries where sunflowerseed will be processed partly as an alternative to rapeseed & canola. The global sunflowerseed trade volume is estimated to be boosted to a record 2.5 Mn T next season.
OIL WORLD WEEKLY of 5 August 2016...
Depleted Vegetable Oil Stocks Will Be A Bullish Factor in Coming Months and in 2016/17...
In the season Oct/Sept 2015/16 stocks will be
reduced much more sharply than expected hitherto.
World production of 8 vegetable oils is declining by 1.3
Mn T, while consumption is increasing by 4.7 Mn T.
This creates an unprecedented production shortfall.
The decline in world stocks reaches alarming proportions...
OIL WORLD MONTHLY of 29 July 2016...
The OIL WORLD ANNUAL 2016 has been released on May 27..
The OIL WORLD ANNUAL 2016 has been released on May 27. It includes the first OIL WORLD forecasts of world production, trade, consumption, stocks and prices for oilseeds, oils & fats and oilmeals for 2016/17. The compendium of world statistics comprises more than 700 pages. You are most welcome to request additional information. Orders can be made online...